Visitors

Tuesday, February 02, 2010

I guess I'm not as resolute as I thought...


"I'm expecting the worst and yet, I don't really want to get rid of any of these horses. I'm gonna run with them and see what happens." - Jim Webber, January 16, 2010
It was just over two weeks ago when I uttered those words.  Funny how fast things can change. isn't it?

Eleven races into the 2013 racing season and stoic acceptance is turning into outright panic.  I'm ready to ship off half of my stable in spite of my previous statement.

C'mon now.  It shouldn't be this hard.  How much better can you do than a colt out of Nova by War Machine?  Ultron has kick-ass breeding, a kick-ass AR and a kick-ass name.  Maybe that's why he keeps getting his ass kicked?  That last place finish at 7f was an eye-opener.  Six furlongs is obviously his upper limit, so I'll try him at 5f and see if there is any improvement.  If not, he goes.

I was very happy to acquire the unraced 3yo filly Sazerac at the year-end auction.  But after two lackluster performances, I'm ready to throw in the towel.  She should be mature now so her shortcoming may simply be a lack of talent.  With stalls at an absolute premium at this time, she may be on the way out.

I'm a real fan of Tombstone.  He remains an enigma however.  It seems like he should be a successful racer but he can't seem to get it together.  I've got a lot of respect for his sire Vampirical, and that's the only reason I've given him the latitude of 17 races without a win.  But his time is running out.

These are the only horses in the crosshairs at the moment. I'm taking aim.  It's only a matter of time before I pull the trigger...

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Probably should have paused the game....


A recent scene in the office of Jim Webber, owner of Otsego Farms:

INTERCOM:  Mr. Webber?  This is Jack from Security.  We've got a gal named Rachel at the front gate who has asked to see you.

JIM:  Rachel?  Ummm, name doesn't ring a bell.  Plus I'm swamped at the moment.  Hang on a sec, will ya?  Pause in conversation as he throws a Wii Bowling strike on the 108" LCD flat-screen TV.  Tell her I'm too busy Jack.  Thanks.  Turns toward leather couch.  Your turn Ettore.

Ettore from Olmo Dorato steps up and takes the controller in hand.

INTERCOM:  Mr Webber?  Sorry to bother you again.  Rachel says she's up from the Gold Coast in Australia and was stopping by to see you and Immortal.

ETTORE:  Un'altra divisione? Lei scherza? Questo succhia!

JIM:  Trying to stifle laughter at pissed off look on Ettore's face.  Rachel who??  C'mon Jack!  We're in the middle of something here.  Jump in the golfcart and take her down to the stable to see Immortal if that's what she wants, would you please?

INTERCOM:  Yes sir.

JIM:  Finally bursts out laughing.  Hahaha!  I'm kicking your ass Ettore!  Calcio il suo asino!

ETTORE:  Giusto per ciò, nessune razze dallo Capro per lei!

An hour later...

INTERCOM:  Mr. Webber?  I just wanted to let you know that Foxie has left the premesis.

JIM:  Foxie!?  Glances at Ettore with shocked look on face.  What do you mean Foxie?

INTERCOM:  Rachel said you might recognize her better by that name.

JIM:  Crestfallen.  Uh oh....

ETTORE:  Shaking head.  Non buono, il mio amico. Non buono.

JIM:  Jeez.  I've always wanted to see what she looked like....

ETTORE:  Controlliamo la telecamera di sicurezza!

JIM:  Bingo!  Both scamper off to the security room, giggling.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Killer eyes March 2013 return

Five year old stayer A View to a Kill, will make his 2013 debut in Week 10 at either the 13f Metropolitan Handicap or the 12f Pan American Handicap.


He's coming off an injury that was sustained in the Trinidad Gold Cup at Santa Rosa, necessitating a 2-month layoff.

Killer will make a couple more starts for Otsego Farms, then will be shipped to Bally Doyle to conclude his career.

Cell phone to his ear, Otsego owner Jim Webber said, "We hate to see him go, but this was all part of the original deal".  He then jumped into his 2010 Taurus SHO and continued, "Gotta fly fella's, I'm running late for the Red Wings game.  Then into the phone he said, "I'm on my way Ryan.  See ya there."

Monday, January 25, 2010

Otsego owner livid. Jockey fired.


In a profanity-laced interview, Otsego Farms owner Jim Webber blasted jockey Enrique Garcia saying, "there's no goddam way he'll ever ride for us again", after a very disappointing run by the 3yo filly Starfire this past weekend.

Starfire went off at 5-1 as one of nine entries in the 7 furlong Furious Stakes and finished 3rd.  A seemingly acceptable finish to most observers.

What infuriated Webber was the apparent lack of effort displayed by the filly.  "I'm pissed.  I'm not gonna lie", he fumed after the race.  "Garcia knows that Starfire likes to loaf down the stretch.  He was told in no uncertain terms to use the whip, and he didn't do it."

Starfire, as her sire Nightwing did before her, started slowly and trailed the field for the first 3 furlongs, falling behind by as far as 13 lengths.

With 2 furlongs to go, cruising comfortably and working hard, she had moved up to 5th and was gaining ground.  At that point her effort level dropped and she breezed in to the wire, finishing 3rd only because Wahoo Orange and Purple Heart both faded badly.

Webber continued, "I told Enrique to go to the stick at the finish.  I don't know what he was thinking.  He's through at Otsego Farms".

"This filly has a ton of talent.  She's just a little lazy.  I'll get a jockey in here who can follow directions", promised Webber.

Fun Video #1

Friday, January 22, 2010

Chances of us getting together? Not good.


I've wanted her for quite a while although I had forgotten that fact.

I noticed her several years ago and even commented on her sweet AR.  I've made attempts to buy her in the past, both via auction and privately, but not lately.

Today I saw that she is for sale.  She's available via auction, but it looks like the reserve is $400,000 and even though she's probably worth it, I'm gonna miss out.  Again.

If I still had $20,000,000 in the bank, I'd snatch her up quicker than you can say "War Machine".  But now that I'm down to less than half of my former bankroll, I am forced to be more frugal.  I'm not even flying my private jet over to London for Amanda's birthday this year.

Long story short...I like Sea Of Streets...always have.  As Lloyd Christmas said in Dumb and Dumber, "I like you Sea Of Streets.  I like you ahh-lawt". 

But not that much.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

It's deja vu, all over again.

This is a transcript of a recent telephone conversation between Otsego Farms owner Jim Webber and another stable owner (SO) who shall remain unidentified.

BEGIN TRANSCRIPT

JW: Hello. This is Jim Webber speaking.


SO: Hi Jim, this is **** *****. Have you got a few minutes to talk?


JW: Sure ****. I've gotta get down to the training barn by 4:15 to check on Quasar, but I can spare a few minutes. What's on your mind?


SO: There has been a formal complaint lodged against you for negative comments you made in the Insider regarding the quality of horses on the auction page.  I got wind of it and thought I'd give you a heads-up.


JW: What the f*** are you talking about?    Wow, seems like this conversation has happened before.  Does this seem familiar to you?

SO: Nope. Anyway, you criticized another owner about their auction decisions.


JW: Yeah. So what? Is that illegal?  Jeez!  Are you sure we haven't had this exact conversation before?


SO: Not in my recollection.


JW:   OK, so what is the problem?


SO: Evidently, some owners feel that you should keep your opinions to yourself because you night be screwing up their potential deals. They feel that by verbalizing your opinions, you are forcing others to rethink their decisions. Furthermore, they feel that the criticism may exacerbate the feelings of inferiority that some new stables experience.


JW: Dammit!  Are you f#*king kidding me!  We've had this discussion before.  I know it!


SO: Ummm...are you allright?


JW: I guess so.  How about this as a compromise? I'll keep doing exactly what I want, and you can tell them to eat sh*t.

SO: I knew you were gonna say that.

JW: So did I.

END OF TRANSCRIPT

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Chuck Norris wouldn't stand for this...



Ahhh...the good old days! 

I remember well the days when Otsego Farms always had a flagship racer.  One that I could throw into the big races and feel confident that a win was a possibility.

Nightwing was the first and ran in every big race imaginable.  Unfortunately, his career ran concurrent with Thunder Arctic and Memcay, which limited the chaos he might have wreaked.

War Machine came along and served up a couple years worth of domination, which I enjoyed immensly.

Next, the mercurial Nova flashed her hindquarters to many a filly for a couple years, only dipping below 96 PSR once in 30 career races.  By the way, I have never gotten over the snub Nova received when she was not even nominated for Sprinter of the Year in 2008.  She finished the year at 10-5-5-0 and her lowest PSR was 99.  Her record that year included two GR1 victories and a 2nd place in the Breeders Cup Sprint, which was a virtual dead heat with Victory Dance.

Next up was Union Jack, who was a consistent winner and world record holder. 

Since then, things have been pretty uneventful.

I've had some other recognizable racers over the years like Predator, Big Easy, Petenwell, and Confederation.  But, they either never quite hit the big-time, or I acquired them after they had already done so.

I'm standing firmly on the precipice of mediocrity right now.  My best racer, A View to a Kill, is a talented horse, but he can't seem to win the big race.  Plus, he'll be back at Bally Doyle in a matter of months which will leave me without any A-List horses at all.

It's definitely a humbling experience to get your ass kicked on a weekly basis by virtually everybody.

Monday, January 18, 2010

All that glitters is not gold...


A couple of years ago while looking at the horses available for purchase at auction, I fell in love with a filly named Titanium.  I liked the name a lot and loved the breeding.  Dubai Gold x Dulcinea seemed like a sweet match to me and I fully expected a horse with the capability to run 9-10 furlongs on either surface.

The bidding started to get up, but I was determined to have her.  I won the auction, spending a formidable $750,000 in the process.  That amount may seem modest compared to some of the enormous bids we've seen over the years, (Lazy Loper $6M and Princess Royale $2M come to mind) but it was the most I've ever spent on a single horse.  She currently sports a career record of 6-0-1-0 with $18,000 in earnings.  I'm thinking that the investment may not pay off.

This is why I'm pretty much done buying horses at auction.  They are simply too speculative.

I'll produce my own for a fraction of the cost.  If they don't pan out, I can cut bait and I haven't blown a huge wad of cash.

Titanium is a young filly who yet may fulfill her destiny as a successful racer.  She just may not be doing it at Otsego Farms.  Bottom line: She gets one more start.  If she doesn't hit the board, she's out.  As I said in a previous post, I'm ready to make tough decisions.  This will probably be the first of many in 2013.

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Horse Sales - Auction or Buy Now?


There are two kinds of purchase options on the good 'ole sales page and it seems to me like we are getting a lot more of one than we should.

When I sell a horse, I have need of a stall or I feel that the horse doesn't fit into my plans anymore for whatever reason. Most of the time, almost always in fact, I sell the horse as a BUY NOW.

In some cases, because I don't want to quibble over a few thousand dollars, I'll sell the horse quickly and painlessly as a BUY NOW for a modest amount. Stowaway is an example. I sold this nice horse to Plugger Racing for $7500. Obviously, an excellent buy for Mr. Kayll as the sprinter has pulled in approximately $400,000 in winnings since then.

In the other cases, I sell the horse as a BUY NOW at a blowout price because I feel the horse is not worth owning. Even though I may feel that way about a particular horse, there appears to be an ass for every saddle. People do buy donkey's every day.

Which more or less brings me to the point of this article.

Why are so many owners using the AUCTION function for horses that should obviously (in my mind) be sold as BUY NOW?

Umstellan up for auction? Seriously? The only thing more incredible than that is the fact that there is currently a $35,000 bid. In fairness, he's probably immature and shouldn't even have raced as a 2yo, but he comes in last place every time he races so his upside is probably limited. I'm sure Rainbow doesn't need the cash so this horse should be a BUY NOW for $5000.

Secret Son up for auction? Quick! Where's my checkbook? A career record of 15-0-0-0 without a hope and HHH actually expects owners to bid on this horse? I'd try BUY NOW for $1 and hope someone is feeling generous.

There are horses that may deserve to be bid on. Anubis is a good example. He's fast and has a potentially long career. In GR3 or less races, he can be a consistent money winner. If the owner is willing to fiddle around with the AUCTION for a few more bucks, more power to him.

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Up from the ashes....



I find myself in a very odd position this racing season.

I like all of my horses very much. There is not a single horse left that I feel is completely expendable. In prior seasons, I've always had a Hex, or an Altamente Reactivo that I could jettison off to make room... or to just make myself feel better about a bad stretch at the track.

In 2013 however, my stable is tighter than a new boot. With all of the breeders and foals, spots for racers are at a premium. I have already thrown all of the ballast overboard.

And yet, I'm expecting a below-average racing season.

Let's face the truth. My best racer, A View to a Kill, is nearing the end of his career and coming off a bad injury.

Sabretooth and Shatterstar are both serviceable runners, but neither is a GR1 option. Perhaps not GR2 either.

Huntress, Starfire, Titanium, and Ultron may never pan out. All have been average or worse thus far in their careers.

Arctic Fox was picked up strictly as a broodmare. Tombstone is about to be planted on Boot Hill, and Domino just hasn't shown the talent I expected, given her breeding.

That leaves four untested 2yo's who won't see the track until later this season (Crossbones, House of M, Nebula) if at all (War Hammer).

As I said. It's odd. I'm expecting the worst and yet, I don't really want to get rid of any of these horses. I'm gonna run with them and see what happens.

Why? Because I've got faith in my yearlings and foals that are coming up and I am willing to wait.

With foals on the way that are sired by the likes of War Machine, Nightwing, Union Jack, Jenny's My Gal, Run Missy Run, Revenge, Memcay, and Moet, I'm very confident that Otsego Farms will come up from the ashes to produce the roses of success.

Monday, January 11, 2010

Monsoon on the move?


With the acquisition of Arctic Fox, I have almost reached a point of satisfaction as far as my band of broodmares is concerned.

I looked her racing record over very carefully and liked what I saw enough to buy her without even seeing the AR. The fact that she was well-bred by Stonewall Stables was an added incentive.

When I examined her superlative AR, I knew that I had indeed hit the jackpot. When she finishes racing after the 2013 season, I'm sure she will be a very successful broodmare; joining False Demon, Shattered Record, Affirm Gal, In Spirit, Second Strike, Ace of Grace, and Immortal, in a group that is supremely capable of producing quality stayers.

Nova is my lone sprinter/miler and she'll stay on permanently because she was one of the fastest fillies this game has ever seen.

That leaves Monsoon. She is the reason that I said I was "almost" satisfied with my band of broodmares.

Her race record was pretty ordinary, but she did flash some speed. Her first offspring, Otsego's Sabretooth, is showing some talent. So why am I restless about her?

Well... she's probably not well-suited to produce stayers and she really wasn't fast enough for me to keep her as a source of sprinters. Translation: She's gonna be sold.

We are interested primarily in producing long-distance horses here at Otsego Stud. Monsoon is a nice horse who is capable of good foals, but she doesn't follow our business plan, and she's not quite good enough for an exception to be made.

Look for her on the sales page in a few days at an affordable price. Of course, private inquiries are always welcome.

Thursday, January 07, 2010

My kingdom for another worthy horse...


It's been a while since I've had a horse worthy of the Kentucky Derby.

I've had the honor of winning the Derby once. Back in 2006, War Machine nipped Smart Money to win and then continued his march into immortality by winning the Preakness and Belmont, becoming the first and only horse to win the PF American Triple Crown.

War Machine's victory was one of four Derby entrants enjoyed by Otsego Farms. The others are detailed as follows.

In 2004, Nightwing finished 5th in an extremely tough field of 15, which included all-time greats Thunder Arctic, Dansilver, Dubai Gold, Congenial, Chatterbox, Blushing Approval, Vampirical, and Troll Tower.

Doomsday ran in the 2007 Derby and finished a disappointing 10th. His record coming into the race was 4-1-2-0 and included a 2nd in the Arkansas Derby at 9 furlongs. Alas, the distance was just too much and even though our trainer insisted that Doomsday had Classic-type stamina, he was never able to compete at that distance during his career.

Union Jack finished a respectable 7th in a 19-horse field in 2008. Jack had 6 wins under his belt coming into the Derby and even though our trainers knew he preferred turf, we felt he deserved a chance based on his record.

The last four seasons have past with no Kentucky Derby entries for Otsego Farms. The 2013 season will make it five in a row since none of my current 3yo's are worthy for a run at the roses.

We hope we can break the streak in 2014. Both Crossbones (Nightwing x In Spirit) and War Hammer (War Machine x Shattered Record) are surface and distance appropriate, and both of their sires are Kentucky Derby veterans. We'll see how they perform this year. Hopefully one of them will show the right stuff and get us back to Churchill Downs.

Wednesday, January 06, 2010

Less equals more.



As I was looking over my entry options for the first week of the season, it occurred to me that I really have very few racers. Of course I knew this, but it didn't strike home until I saw that short little dropdown list on the entry screen.

It seemed like fourteen racers would be sufficient to keep me occupied, but now I'm starting to wonder.

With such a trim stable I'll be able to give more thought to each horses schedule and development. That's good.

However, it will mean very few races every week. That's bad.

Case in point. Week One is upon us and I, like everyone else, is chomping at the bit to get started racing. After analyzing the horses, my roster yields just three or four potential starters. All of the others would have less than 30 days rest. My options sure are limited.

Domino, Sabretooth, and Tombstone are all right at the 30-day mark, and I would consider starting any of them now. However, I'd prefer that they had another week of rest, and since most of this week's fields are fairly heavy, they'll probably all sit until next week.

That leaves Sazerac. The 3yo filly will make her debut this week and will be my only racer. After a long off-season, starting off 2013 with just a single entry is a bit disappointing. But this is going to be the norm this season and I'm ready for it.

With my ten veteran horses scheduled to run approximately every 40 days and four 2yo's that'll average less than 6 starts each, I'll be lucky to top 100 total entries for the whole season.

You know what? I'm OK with that.

In the past, I was slowly expanding my racing string and I found that managing them all was becoming a chore. I had too many horses to enter so I didn't spend any real time choosing the best race. I just entered them in the first appropriate race and moved on. I came to the conclusion that less was more.

I'll try to keep my racing string in the 10-15 horse range and fill the other 30-40 stalls with stallions, broodmares, and foals.

Since I'll have 10-12 foals born every year, it'll mean that I'll have to churn through horses relatively fast. They'll have to show me something early or they will be gone.

We'll see how that goes...

Monday, January 04, 2010

Otsego welcomes Arctic Fox


The 6yo mare Arctic Fox (Thunder Arctic x Fox) was acquired by Otsego Farms today in a two-sided transaction that also saw broodmare Flawless being sent to History's Own Stable.

Otsego owner Jim Webber stated, "We felt that Arctic Fox would be an upgrade to our breeding operation. She was still available after the annual auction, so we contacted the connections at Endless Vista to inquire about her."

To make room, Otsego sold the fine broodmare Flawless (War Chant x Azeri) to History's Own. Webber continued, "Flawless turned out a couple of fine colts for us (Captain Britain, Darkhawk), but we felt that Arctic Fox was better suited for our studs."

Arctic Fox will race during the 2013 season, then retire and go to the breeding shed. She will be matched with either Union Jack or Nightwing initially, with Union Jack having the inside track.

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Arm yourself. You'll know her name...



She is a big gray beauty by Union Jack out of stable favorite Shattered Record. Just a yearling at this point, but she'll eventually grow to a staggering 17.2 hands.

She's showing stamina. We expect her to easily top 10 furlongs as a racer.

Her sire and dam were both primarily turfers, but she has a distinct preference for dirt.

And even though she's coming up with a bunch of Otsego colts and fillies who may be more highly regarded, (Deep Magic, Quasar, and Xtra Run to name a few) we expect her to be very successful.

I don't even have to mention her name. Her skill on the track will shout out "You Know My Name". Coming Spring 2014.

Monday, December 21, 2009

9yo Broodmare Flawless available


Otsego Farms has need for stall space, so the broodmare Flawless will become available when the Photo-Finish sales page is reactivated for the 2013 season.

Flawless has had two colts as a Otsego Farms broodmare. Captain Britain, a turf stayer sired by Union Jack, and Darkhawk, a turf miler sired by Nightwing.

Otsego owner Jim Webber stated the following with a sigh and a shrug of the shoulders, "Frankly, I like the look of both of her colts, but something has come up and we need to eliminate one mare. It came down to Flawless."

Her AR is displayed below:

Flawless, 17 hand chestnut fillyBy War Chant out of Azeri by Jade Hunter

This horse will mature quickly and be at peak performance early, ready for the Derby.

This horse will have a very short peak time, perhaps only a single racing season.

This horse will be near peak potential for the Derby.

This horse dislikes hard dirt.

This horse prefers soft dirt.

This horse dislikes mud.

This horse is good on hard turf.

This horse is good on soft turf.

This horse will fight tooth and nail if challenged at the wire.

This horse has physical problems that may lead to alot of injury downtime.

This horse has average ratability.

This horse has average curve handling abilities.

This horse cruises once it has the lead.

This horse handles traffic ok.

This horse has consistency problems. Doesn't always meet expectations.

This horse has an average recovery rate between races.

This horse may have problems carrying weight unless the handicapper takes it easy on him/her.

This horse is flexible; can run on lead, stalk, or come from behind.

This horse has good acceleration.

This horse has average speed out of the gate.

This horse has average speed.Handles 5f to 1 1/4mi, best distance 1mi.

Flawless had a decent racing career and looks like she could produce some nice turfers down the road. She'll be listed as a BUY NOW option and will be very reasonably priced. If anyone has any interest, you can contact me anytime and we can work out a private deal.

Can you handle the Truth? Revisited.

There are some wonderful people involved in Photo-Finish. I am fortunate to call many of them friends, even though we've never actually met face-to-face.. You know who you are.

There are also some people that I can't actually call friends, but who's opinions and PF acumen I respect.

Then there are the chosen few that annoy me. Believe me, you gotta try hard to find your way into this category because I am really just about as nice a guy as you can find.

The guy/girl from Pacific Belles fits into the last category. Against all logic he/she continues to jab at me concerning breeding. His/her logic is flawed, his/her humor is tedious, and he/she just won't leave it alone. I called him/her out in the forum yesterday after he/she brought this tired old subject up yet again, and my post was promptly edited out by Laurie. I think it was my use of the terms "moron" and "idiot" that got my post erased.

Anyway, that fool keeps spewing his/her misinformation about breeding so I thought I would re-publish a post from October 2008. It may be of some interest to newer PF members or others who never saw it.

REPUBLISHED FROM OTSEGO INSIDER OCTOBER 2008

These fantasy horses are very complex critters.

When a new foal is born, we are presented with a short AR which gives us rudimentary information about the new arrival. That information, plus what we can glean from studying the history of the sire and dam, is all we have to plan the new horses future. Later, we gain more information by watching the horse race. Eventually, we develop a clear picture of the horses abilities and shortcomings. Sometimes this revelation comes quickly, sometimes it doesn't.

As I said, these fantasy horses are very complex critters. The small amount of information on the AR camouflage's the fact that there are many, many facets to the abilities and disabilities of each horse. Here is a list of the attributes of each horse in the Photo-Finish game.

Break Speed
Early Speed
Top Speed
Long Stamina
Ratability
Running on Lead
Handles Traffic
Courage
Soundness
Curve Ability
Durability
Consistency
Weight Stress Point
Begin Peak Age
End Peak Age
Peak % at Age 3.3
Running Style
Acceleration
Hard Dirt Ability
Soft Dirt Ability
Mud Ability
Firm Turf Ability
Soft Turf Ability

I imagine that many of these rating are intertwined when it comes to the horse performance on the track. For instance, a Poor Break Speed and the Far Back Running Style, may spell doom for a 5-furlong sprinter even if he has the most illustrious parents. Conversely, if all of the proper attributes fall correctly into place, you can have a superstar from relatively humble origins.

The attributes for each foal are determined by a mathematical breeding program devised by Photo-Finish Founder Laurie Brown. Each attribute for the new foal is determined in the following manner:

25% probability of using the sire rating
25% probability of using the dam rating
25% probability of using the average of the sire and dam rating
25% random probability

Some Photo-Finish participants adhere to the belief that breeding is pure luck. As anyone can plainly see, the random probability is limited to 25%. Therefore 75% of the foal attributes are determined solely by the sire and dam. Unequivocally, this means that it is better to use the best quality sire and dam you can and to trust in statistical probability to produce a high quality foal.

However as shown above, there are many attributes to be determined for each horse and it is possible that poor ratings in key areas can torpedo a foal's future on the track. These poor ratings can be a result of a random anomaly or because both parents had a common weakness that manifests itself in the foal. Those who trust in "pure luck" and pick poor studs or severely mismatched breeding pairs are statistically more apt to fail.

That is a fact that cannot be disputed.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Are Sprinters a dying breed?


In the forum today, Mike Noble mentioned that there appeared to be fewer sprinters than normal produced in the 2013 foal crop.

He's probably right.

The fact is, most PF trainers are disappointed when they see the infamous "This horse appears to be a sprinter" at the end of their new AR.

The reason is pretty simple. Money.

The amount of career earnings that a sprinter can hope to earn is a fraction of what a comparably talented stayer can earn. Just take a look at the top 25 Photo-Finish money earners. Not a sprinter to be seen. As close as you come is the super-miler Scenic Sheba and she checks in at the bottom of the current list in spot 25.

I've geared my own breeding operation primarily to 10-16 furlongs, even adopting the motto of "Otsego Stud - We think 16". War Machine and Nightwing both have AR's that stipulate their best distance as 16 furlongs and Union Jack set a world record at 14 furlongs and ran successfully at 16 furlongs many times.

In the past three breeding seasons, Otsego Farms has produced just one sprinter in 24 foals. We've had 5 milers, 7 classics, and 11 long distance foals.

Bottom line? The only way that sprinters will cease being the virtual pariah's that they have become will be if the racing schedule is modified to include some big money sprinting races.

Boudica, Charlemagne, Tomyris, Trebuchet


Here are the foals produced by War Machine.

Boudica (2013), 17 hand white filly
By War Machine out of Bold Alanna by Alannan

This horse will mature at the average rate (3-4).
This horse will have a very short peak time, perhaps only a single racing season.
This horse prefers hard dirt.
This horse prefers soft dirt.
This horse is good in mud.
This horse is good on hard turf.
This horse is ok on soft turf.
This horse is very hardy and unlikely to fall victim to injuries.
This horse has average ratability.
This horse likes a lot of distance.

The white filly is the spitting image of her mom. Big, strong, loves dirt, and has the stamina for the route. Couldn't ask for more from this pair. The picture above if of the legendary Iceni Queen Boudica, who fought the Romans in Britain in the 1st century AD.


Charlemagne (2013), 16.3 hand chestnut colt
By War Machine out of Second Strike by Spanish Midnight

This horse will mature quickly and be at peak performance early (2-3).
This horse will have a very short peak time, perhaps only a single racing season.
This horse is good on hard dirt.
This horse is good on soft dirt.
This horse is poor in mud.
This horse is ok on hard turf.
This horse is ok on soft turf.
This horse is of average soundness.
This horse has average ratability.
This horse likes a lot of distance.

The "King" is a chip off the old block. We're thinking big in 2015 with this colt.


Tomyris (2013), 15.3 hand chestnut filly
By War Machine out of Immortal by Bellbuster

This horse will mature quickly and be at peak performance early (2-3).
This horse will have a very short peak time, perhaps only a single racing season.
This horse is good on hard dirt.
This horse is good on soft dirt.
This horse is poor in mud.
This horse is ok on hard turf.
This horse is ok on soft turf.
This horse is very hardy and unlikely to fall victim to injuries.
This horse has average ratability.
This horse appears to be a sprinter.

We were hoping for a bit more endurance, but Tomyris is a spunky girl out of a couple winners so we're sure she'll produce.


Trebuchet (2013), 17.1 hand chestnut colt
By War Machine out of False Demon by Fusaichi Pegasus

This horse will mature quickly and be at peak performance early (2-3).
This horse will have an average performance peak, at least two racing seasons.
This horse is poor on hard dirt.
This horse prefers soft dirt.
This horse dislikes mud.
This horse dislikes hard turf.
This horse is poor on soft turf.
This horse is very hardy and unlikely to fall victim to injuries.
This horse has average ratability.
This horse likes a lot of distance.

We love Treb, but he is, without doubt, the pickiest horse we've ever seen with regard to surface. Flat out hates turf, mud, and even hard dirt. We'll try to de-sensitize him but he may run very sparingly due to scratches.