I downloaded the races then scanned the horse stats before looking at the results. I was trying to determine what to expect just by looking at speed and stamina ratings. One race in particular was pretty easy to handicap.
It was a 12F Allowance for 2yo's, and looking at the horses stats, two things were ridiculously obvious:
- Pluto was gonna win.
- Secret Energy was gonna lose
It was a long race and Pluto had, by far, the top stamina number (73). Conversely, Secret Energy had, by far, the lowest stamina number (64).
I have no idea what Scott was thinking when he entered Secret Energy in this race. With stamina that low, the AR, for what it's worth, must say SPRINTER. If it doesn't, something is seriously haywire somewhere because that 64 stamina number is the lowest I've seen yet and it makes me believe this horse may be worthless at anything over 5 furlongs.
Of course it could be that Secret Energy is immature and possibly can aspire to an eventual stamina number of 66 or so when he grows up. But for now, that horse is a dead-nut sprinter and the 99-1 odds and last place finish in a 12F race was abso-freeking-lutely no surprise to me.
This second example may seem unbelievable to you, but I can assure you it is true. I perused the horse stats for the Fernhill Handicap and in my opinion the best three horses, in no particular order, were:
- Overdose
- Also Ran
- Mister Trump
I felt that Also Ran would be the winner based on the fact that he was much faster than any other horse in the race... although it looked like 8F might be a bit of a challenge for him and is probably the extent of his capabilities at this time.
Well, the horses finished 1 - Also Ran, 2 - Overdose, 3 - Mister Trump.
The other thing I could tell you was that Scotty's Cleo was probably gonna finish last...which he did. The horse is slow. At least now he is. Maybe he'll improve as he matures.
Interesting stuff. Don't you agree?