Optimism prevails, Chapter Two

A few posts ago, I explained why I was optimistic for 2009.

I feel that I have some depth and versatility which will translate into wins.

Well, I was looking at some statistics for my top 5 racers yesterday and what I found has strengthened my opinion that 2009 will be a very successful year.

My top 5 racers are:

• Doomsday 5yo male
• Big Easy 5yo male
• King of the Sea 4yo colt
• Union Jack 4yo colt
• Nova 4yo filly

Those five horses had a combined total of 53 races last season. Of the 53 races, 32 of them resulted in speed scores of over 100.

By horse, the ratio of 100+ speed scores to total races last season looked like this:

1. Nova 10/10
2. Union Jack 7/10
3. King of the Sea 6/12
4. Doomsday 5/11
5. Big Easy 4/10

Overall, that is a percentage of 60%.

I looked at all of the performances in the 2008 racing season and found that there were 1265 instances of 100+ speed scores out of a possible 5675 entries. That equates to 22%.

So, you can see why I am optimistic. My top 5 checked in with a 100+ speed score in 60% of their races last year as compared to a Photo Finish average of 22%. I love it when a plan comes together.

Incidentally, the average speed score last season was 80.5.