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Sunday, January 09, 2011

Reflections on racing weeks 21-22

House of M continues to mature into a force to be reckoned with.  She won the 8.5F Milady Handicap in relatively easy fashion and was as fresh as a daisy after the race.  She definitely has more distance in her.

Nebula also raced in an 8.5F GR1 race, but didn't fare quite as well.  She finished 2nd in a small 4-horse field, laboring at the finish.  A 45-day rest and a slightly shorter distance next time will suit her well.

Refractor had a very  odd trip.  His jockey was under strict orders to trail the pack and make a run at the end.  That is not the way the race unfolded however with Refractor contending for the lead early on.  This left him a little short down the stretch, where he slipped back to 4th place in the Japanese Derby.  His $160,000 payday took a little sting out of the disappointing finish however.

War Hammer (sigh) .  I'm afraid that he may have reached the end of the road at Otsego Farms.  He really didn't have a lot of business being in the GR2 race this weekend, but the distance was right and it was a small field so I figured, "Why the Hell not?"   I didn't expect a win.  I just wanted to see some small bit of improvement.  It didn't happen, so he'll probably hit the sales page.  His AR says he like a lot of distance and that he will mature at age 3-4, so maybe there is some bit of hope for this fellow in the future, but it won't be at Otsego Farms.

Mega-prospect Quasar was very disappointing in his debut.  Analyzing his numbers this morning certainly did not instill confidence either.  He is supposed to mature early and since we are in the middle of his 2yo season, I expected something more than the awful showing he produced.  With my stall situation, I can't afford to spend a lot of time with early-maturing horses that show nothing.  He'll get one more try in an attempt to hang on to his stall.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Quote : He is supposed to mature early and since we are in the middle of his 2yo season


All that means is he will mature between the ages of 2 and 3 not he will be mature at 2 , he mite be mature at 3 .. I was thinking the same thing about Zero last season his AR said 2-3 and did shit as a 2yo


Dont think just cause the AR says 2-3 they will be ready at 2



Foxie

Jim Webber said...

It's always dicey trying to figure out if you have an immature horse or just a lousy horse.

The jury is still out on War Hammer. I came real close to putting him on the sales page yesterday, but haven't done it yet. I'm not in a stall crunch at the moment, but I will be when breeding starts, so he has until then to get straightened out.

Crsita ~ Rivendell said...

Just wait till next year and your fantastically well running mares start failing at the same distance they were winning at! D:

Anyway, what the Fox said is true. I dont start judging an early maturing horse until after their 3 year old season starts.... I rarely ever have any horse ready to go from the start.

I have an early type that is three year olds and still switching his numbers up.