In the movie Avatar, the mineral Unobtanium is a superconductor for energy, which makes it very desirable. It is worth $20 million per kilogram unrefined ($40 million refined) on Earth.
Unobtanium's unique properties and scarcity determine it's value. Similarly, the elusive Excellent stamina rating in Photo Finish does the same. The horses that possess it are rare and therefore valuable.
Not all horses with EX stamina are superstars, but the vast majority are very good. In my opinion, this rating above all others, is the most reliable tool to measure the probability of success.
Currently, there are 3174 horses with the RACER designation. Of this population, only 30 have Excellent stamina. That is less than 1% of all racers. Only 17 stables own at least one horse with EX stamina, with just 6 of those stables owning more than one. The stables that have more than one horse with EX stamina are:
Firstholme - 2
Rivendell - 2
Sunshine - 2
FDL - 3
Pendfold - 3
Otsego - 7
There are only 5 sires who have produced more than one EX stamina horse. They are:
Braveheart, FDL - 2
Memcay, Rainbow - 2
Heat Seeker, FDL - 2
A Bus, Port Pirie - 2
Union Jack, Otsego - 3
Only one mare has produced more than a single EX stamina horse. She is list mare Ticket to Dance.
Rarest of the rare? Fillies with the Ex stamina trait. Currently, there are just 2 fillies meeting this criteria. That is just .06% of the current racing population. These two ultra-rare commodities are Dream d'Oro 3F from Absinthe, and Blank KD 2F, from Godolphin17.
7 comments:
Union Jack also leads the list of EX producing sires with the highest percentage of offspring in RACER status that have the EX stamina rating.
For example:
A Bus (2 out of 65 for 3.8%), Memcay (2 out of 53 for 3.8%), and Braveheart (2 out of 48 for 4.2%) are all in the same neighborhood.
Heat Seeker ups the ante a bit with 2 out of 25 for 8.0%.
Union Jack takes the crown though with 3 EX stamina horses out of 30 current RACERS for a 10.0% hit rate.
Interesting, huh?
Since EX stamina horses comprise just less than 1% of the RACER population, these sires are 4 to 10 times more likely to produce one.
As a disclaimer, I'm sure there are other sires with just one EX, who may have produced very few foals, that may have a higher percentage than 10% because of their limited production.
Will keep your advice in mind when I retire Dream d'Oro. Your ate tempting me to retire her and send her to Union Jack, since patience is not my strong suit.
Just wondering what the stamina rating needs to be to able to classify for EX stamina> ? Ie; above 75 perhaps?
It's not so easy to quantify, unfortunately. Usually, when fully mature, a horse with excellent stamina will possess a 73 or 74 rating. There have only been a couple, and only for a brief period of time, that have touched 75.
I have seen them as low as 70, but obviously, the higher the better.
My horse Astrapios has EX stamina, but only a 72 stamina rating. With his 90 speed, which is too high for a real effective 16F specialist in my opinion, I've decided to limit him to approx 12F.
Thanks Jim!
I only ask as I have a 2yo I'm a little exited about. Only two runs have yielded 73 stam. From memory I think his last was 78-88-88-73.
Hoping he can improve further as he bolted in over a mile :)
Thanks Jim!
I only ask as I have a 2yo I'm a little exited about. Only two runs have yielded 73 stam. From memory I think his last was 78-88-88-73.
Hoping he can improve further as he bolted in over a mile :)
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