Visitors

Monday, July 11, 2011

Digging deeper to unearth a gem?

I took a look at the HRF statistics for my 3YO's as of their final race last season.  Without giving the actual numbers, here they are ranked from best to worst.

BREAK SPEED
  1. Kit Fisto
  2. You Know My Name
  3. Deep Magic
  4. Moondragon
  5. Captain Britain
  6. Azrael
  7. Art of Seduction
  8. Xtra Run
EARLY SPEED
  1. Xtra Run
  2. Moondragon
  3. Azrael
  4. You Know My Name
  5. Captain Britain
  6. Kit Fisto
  7. Deep Magic
  8. Art of Seduction
TOP SPEED
  1. Xtra Run
  2. Moondragon
  3. Azrael
  4. You Know My Name
  5. Kit Fisto
  6. Captain Britain
  7. Deep Magic
  8. Art of Seduction
STAMINA
  1. Art of Seduction
  2. Azrael
  3. You Know My Name
  4. Deep Magic
  5. Kit Fisto
  6. Captain Britain
  7. Moondragon
  8. Xtra Run
Interesting that Art of Seduction (AR says sprinter) has the highest stamina rating of the bunch.  His speed is poor, which again translates into him being a distance runner.

Azrael looks like the real deal to me.  His speed is good - just under the two sprinting mares Xtra Run and Moondragon, and his stamina is strong as well.  His prognosis is good for 2015.

Xtra Run is very fast, but has no stamina and her atrocious break speed is extremely problematic.  Even though her speed may be on a par with her sprinting peers, if she is 10 lengths down after the first furlong, the race may be over before she get stretched out.

Kit Fisto's relative lack of speed is partially offset by his quick starts.  His stamina is good, and should improve as he matures, so his modus operandi should be to get out front, put it on auto-pilot, and try to hang on until the end.

I am a bit concerned about Deep Magic's below-average speed.  He finished low both on early speed and top speed, and this is not an overly speedy bunch.  His stamina is a bit better than advertised though, so perhaps by running at 10F rather than 8F (as suggested by his AR) he can do better.

You Know My Name breaks well and has decent speed.  Coupled with her above-average stamina, it may be enough for her to build on her successful 2YO campaign.

Captain Britain (in spite of his decent showing as a 2YO) and Moondragon both look decidedly mediocre.  I'll be keeping a close eye on their progress in 2015.  If no improvement is made, they will be shipped out.

No comments: