Does the Loch Ness Monster really exist? Can anyone explain the composition of Dark Matter? And most perplexingly, why does KRF keep running the 4yo filly Quake at 16 furlongs?
Admittedly, Quake got her career off to a bang when she finished 4th at 16F in her debut. Thus encouraged, KRF entered her in two more 2-mile races and Quake rattled off back-to-back wins, with impressive times of 3:20 and 3:19, no less.
Since then, Quake has come to earth. She's had five more races, all at 16F, and finished 8,5,3,3,8. To make matters worse, her times have regressed. Quake has been unable to recapture her early magic, making me wonder why KRF insists on running her exclusively at 16F.
The simple truth is... this filly isn't a 16F horse.
Look at her running style. I've watched several of her races and it's always the same. She breaks well, takes an early lead, fades in the last 4-5 furlongs. Wash. Rinse. Repeat.
Her HRF fantasy numbers don't support the theory that she is a stayer either. Yes, she has an above-average Kick rating of 992, but her Stamina rating of 70 screams 9-11 furlongs. She's got good speed, much better than most long distance horses. Combine that with her front-running tendancies and you might even have some success at 8F.
I tried to make an offer on Quake a while ago, but never received a reply from Karie. I even approached Ryan, trying to make an end run into KRF. He said she'd never sell, so I quit trying.
It kills me to see this horse languish at 16F against the likes of Refractor, Pluto, Alphabet, and all the other real stayers. She simply cannot beat the top tier horses at 2 miles. Not gonna happen. Ever.
My advice? In this order...
- Sell her to me, or
- Run her at 8-11 furlongs, or
- If she must be run at 16F, do it in Stakes races.
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