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Sunday, April 08, 2007

Otsego PSR analysis

Our Power Speed Ratings have been very solid so far this season.

According to DJ from Under The Weeping Moon, affectionately known as The Statman, instances of 100+ PSR's occur in approximately 18-20% of all races.

We have data on 24 of our 26 races thus far and here is the breakdown on PSR's:

PSR RACES PERCENT
110-119 2 8%
100-109 6 25%
90-99 8 33%
80-89 2 8%
70-79 1 4%
60-69 1 4%
50-59 1 4%
40-49 3 13%

So far, 33% (8/24) of our races have had PSR's over 100. Well above the 20% expectation.

Incredibly, 67% (16/24) have been over 90. In fact, many of those 90+ scores were right on the cusp of 100. Specifically, six of the eights 90+ scores were 96 or higher. That means that 14 of 24 races (58%) have had a PSR of 96 or higher.

3 comments:

DJ said...

Just to complete your numbers. Doomsday had an 89 and Lady Katherine an 83 this week.

Jim Webber said...

Awwww...rats. Both under 90 PSR. You gotta go and ruin everything, huh DJ? :)

DJ said...

Sorry for the bad news! 6 furlongs is a tough distance to get a really nice PSR though. The best PSR for 6 on the dirt at Shenandoah this year so far is a 92, and that was run in 1:09.38! Doomsday had to have been really close to a 90. The other 6.5 on turf at Santa Anita was also over a hard track with pretty close track variants, and 1:15.56 ended up as a 91 for that one.