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Saturday, April 07, 2007

Race Results for Weeks 15-16


We had just two entries this week, Doomsday in the 6.5 furlong San Simeon Handicap, and Lady Katherine in a 6 furlong Allowance.

I've been trying to be very judicious on Doomsday's entries, looking to maximize his chances. The stated goal at the beginning of the season was to enter him in ability appropriate races, probably concentrating on lower grades. I thought the Grade 3 San Simeon with just a $100,000 purse might offer a good chance at a win.

Unfortunately, a top tier sprinter, Miss Bust of Firstholme Racing was also entered. Doomsday had a massive victory over the speedy Jewel Mint of DVO earlier in the season, but the upset was not in the cards this time around as Miss Bust won handily. Doomsday did cruise home for an easy 2nd place however, almost 14 lengths ahead of Unknown Direction from Watch This Space. Doomsday has a 2009 season record of 4-1-3-0. A tremendous improvement so far over last year where he finished at 11-0-2-2, attributable to better race selection no doubt.

Lady Katherine came back from her injury in spectacular fashion, winning a 6 furlong Allowance race. Her record for the season stands at 2-1-0-0.

She ran a very economical race and had plenty of steam at the finish to hold off Moonlapse Vertigo from Under the Weeping Moon for the victory. She was a bit of a longshot at 12/1 odds, but we felt that she had a good chance and picked her for the victory in the PW contest. Bally Doyle, History's Own, and Zippy Chippy all picked Lady Katherine as well.

That puts our stable record at 26-4-10-4 for the season, giving us a sparkling 69% on-the-board ratio. Our win percentage is a bit off projection but we still feel that we can get 20+ victories this year in approximately 105 races.

3 comments:

DJ said...

Lesson number one when updating tracks in the HRFan program: Check your numbers after inputting them! I very recently did a reinstall, and had to add the Shehandoah track again. After putting in the proper homestretch number, I moved on to the "finish to 1st" number. Well, when you change that one, apparently the program decided to readjust the homestretch numebr!

Anyway, I watched the Lady Katherine - Moonlapse Vertigo tussle, and was very happy seeing Moonlapse pull it out by a nose. Then, I checked out the results page...ugh.

So, after rewatching the race and seeing Moonlapse get held up a bit by a the fading favorite, Gorgeous Commander, I was thinking maybe a rematch was in order...like say in early June at Calder?

Tough break on Miss Bust dropping way down like that. Obviously, people aren't all that worried about how it will affect the rankings. Basically, what I feel the problem is that people are deciding that their horse is GOING to run in a particular week, so ANY race will do.

Jim Webber said...

Sorry about Moonlapse DJ. That very same situation happened to me once also. It is very discouraging when you think you have a win.

Yeah, I think you are right about the Miss Bust call. She is probably the best sprinter in the game at the moment and I really didn't expect her in that race.

This is an example where the Geospot idea would have an ancillary benefit. In a lot of cases, it would stop owners from entering unnecessary races, because by doing so, they may jeopardize future races due to timing issues.

DJ said...

I ran into the same thing earlier in the year when I entered May Day (a maiden at the time) in a $100,000 G3, and Braveheart shows up!

I'm a big proponent of having some sort of shipping system in place. It adds that extra level of realism. Plus, there's that much more strategy needed to negotiate your horse through the schedule. Maybe once Laurie gets the new engine running, it will be something we can implement.